Scientific Reasoning

Week 16 · Knowledge, Science & Capstone

How to turn a broad concern into a question, hypothesis, evidence plan, and revisable explanation.

Time to set aside
8-11 hours: 6-7 hours reading, 1 hour question design, 1-2 hours evidence plan, 30 minutes review.
Progress
Ready to begin

Sofia's briefing

Why this week

Scientific reasoning begins when a broad concern becomes a question that can be tested, revised, and argued about with evidence. The capstone starts with question design because evidence cannot rescue a vague or unfalsifiable claim. This week narrows the problem before you invest effort in measurement and writing, making each claim answerable to observation and competing explanations.

What to watch for

A research question can quietly contain its preferred answer. Inspect its wording for assumed causes, moral conclusions, or undefined populations.

What observation would make your preferred explanation less plausible?

  1. 1
    Orient

    Start with the aims and questions so the readings have a purpose.

  2. 2
    Read actively

    Use the prompt under each source to produce notes, not highlights alone.

  3. 3
    Apply

    Test the ideas through observation, analysis, or a small intervention.

  4. 4
    Demonstrate

    Save the deliverables and check your work against the completion criteria.

Questions and aims

Define what you are trying to understand before deciding that you have understood it.

Study Aims

  • Distinguish a topic, research question, hypothesis, explanation, and recommendation.
  • State what evidence would support, weaken, or disconfirm a claim.
  • Match the strength of a conclusion to the strength of its evidence.
  • Write a focused research brief for the capstone problem.

Guiding Questions

  • What would I expect to observe if this explanation were true?
  • What alternative explanation is most dangerous to my claim?
  • What would change my mind?

Before you read

Before reading, write the smallest version of your capstone question that could still be answered with visible evidence.

Reading plan

5 guided readings, in the order shown.

  1. 90 min

    Scientific Method Opens in new tab

    Peter Godfrey-Smith · Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy

    Why it earns a place

    Questions about hypothesis, evidence, experiment, explanation, and the logic of scientific inquiry.

    How to study it

    Read the introduction and sections on confirmation, experimentation, and scientific change. Extract a reusable evidence checklist.

  2. 75-90 min

    Psychology 2e: Chapter 2, Psychological Research Opens in new tab

    Rose M. Spielman and contributors · OpenStax

    Why it earns a place

    Research questions, scientific literacy, ethics, descriptive methods, correlation, and experiments in psychology.

    How to study it

    Read sections 2.1-2.3. Make a table comparing description, correlation, and experiment, including what each can and cannot establish.

  3. 45 min

    Thinking like a Psychological Scientist Opens in new tab

    Noba Project contributors · Noba Project

    Why it earns a place

    An expert-written introduction to judging the quality of psychological claims, evidence, explanations, and scientific conclusions.

    How to study it

    Use the module to audit the language of your research question for hidden assumptions and overclaiming.

  4. 60-90 min

    Doing Economics Opens in new tab

    CORE Econ · CORE Econ

    Why it earns a place

    Hands-on projects using public data to develop basic data handling, statistical reasoning, and empirical economic analysis.

    How to study it

    Choose one project or dataset relevant to your case. Inspect how the question, variables, data source, and method are connected before importing any result into the capstone.

  5. 75-90 min

    The Structure of Scientific Revolutions Opens in new tab

    Thomas S. Kuhn · University of Chicago Press

    Why it earns a place

    Kuhn's influential account of paradigms, normal science, anomalies, crises, and scientific revolutions.

    How to study it

    Read chapters 1-4. Write a short comparison between Kuhn's normal science and the more straightforward problem-solving picture in your methods notes.

Apply and demonstrate

7 study actions turn the reading into observable work.

Practice

  1. Turn your collective problem into one question with a bounded population, place, time, and mechanism.
  2. Write one primary claim and two competing explanations.
  3. List the best evidence available for each claim and label its method.
  4. Write a pre-analysis paragraph stating what evidence would lower your confidence.

Deliver

  • A one-page research brief.
  • An evidence matrix with claim, source, method, limitation, and confidence.
  • A revised capstone question.

Confirm

  • Your question can be answered with evidence rather than only reflection.
  • You have named at least two plausible explanations.
  • Your confidence statements use calibrated language.

Additional Resources

Optional resources for going further after the reading plan.